Where Federal Contract Dollars Land: Every Province, Ranked
22 years of federal awards mapped by vendor headquarters. Ontario vendors capture 67% of value; the Prairies win volume, not value.
Eleven publications across four research themes, all computed from the same compiled corpus: 1,313,281 federal award records (2004–2026), 405,956 Quebec tenders with named bidders, 2,043 CITT bid-challenge documents, and 15,068 British Columbia award entries.
Who holds the money: vendor concentration, value distribution, and the geography of federal awards.
22 years of federal awards mapped by vendor headquarters. Ontario vendors capture 67% of value; the Prairies win volume, not value.
One hundred vendors collect 62.6% of all federal contract value. The market's two economies — megaproject and repetition — documented from 1.31 million awards.
46% of federal awards are under $25,000; 95% are under $1 million. The long tail, measured — and what it means for entry.
How contested public markets actually are: non-competitive awards, single-bid tenders, buyers and bidders.
Across 405,956 Quebec tenders (2021–2026), 67.4% received exactly one bid. The published bidder lists make the measurement possible — and the finding uncomfortable.
Roughly one federal award in three skips competition. After a 2018 trough, the share has drifted to its highest sustained level — and cannot be attributed by department from open data.
Among Quebec's largest buyers, single-bid rates span 37% to 93%. What separates the buyers who get competition from the buyers who buy alone.
Win rates for the market's most active firms: engineering consultancies at 45%, product suppliers near 70%, road-builders at one in four.
The record of contested outcomes at the Canadian International Trade Tribunal.
The complete CITT complaint registry, compiled. Filing rates have been flat for two decades while the contract base multiplied.
Twelve firms filed one in seventeen of all CITT complaints. The challenge regime's participation base — and its skew — in aggregate public record.
Provincial contract economies and the measurement of Indigenous-business participation.
The record's two Indigenous-business flags total $4.6B across 23 years. The measurement gaps are as consequential as the totals.
Fifteen years of BC award records: a highway economy, a road-builder vendor roster, and one year holding a fifth of all value.